Yankees-Guardians picks: best bets for ALDS Game 4, including props for Aaron Judge and José Ramírez

As they say, it escalated quickly. From an absolutely unbelievable volume of baseball on Saturday – we played four games but one of them lasted the equivalent of two games on its own – to just one game. The other three division streaks are over, with the NL team seeing both sets finished in four games and the AL team seeing a sweep. All that remains are the Yankees at Guardians who face off on Sunday night in Game 4 at Progressive Field.

The Guardians have a 2-1 lead in the series after the Yankees won Game 1. The Guardians managed to get through the clutch with an extra-inning win in Game 2 and an incredible comeback in the ninth inning, walk-off, victory in Race 3.

What’s in store for game 4? It will be quite unpredictable, but we will still try to place bets.

All lines courtesy of Caesars

OVER 6.5 rides, -125

I tried the over in Race 2 and both teams let me down. I stayed away in Race 3 when I should have stayed on course. Even before the Guardians came back, he was 5-3 Yankees and was already over the total.

Gerrit Cole takes the ball for the Yankees and although he has a lot of talent and will get his strikeouts, it can be obtained. His ERA of 3.50 this season was only 11% better than average and not ace-like. He has conceded at least four runs in nine of his 33 starts. He also led the AL with 33 allowed home runs. I like the Guardians to watch it again within five days.

Also, the Yankees bullpen is skinny, untrustworthy and has been working hard for the past couple of days.

The Guardians bullpen has also been worked hard, although it is deep and can be trusted.

However, the Yankees take a quick look at Cal Quantrill after scoring him for four points out of four hits, including two home runs, in Game 1.

He looked completely lost in the first two games of the series and was even booed by some overly titled Yankees fans. He’s a pro, though, and cleared the list on his way to Cleveland. He hit the monster’s home run (449 feet) and then later flew onto the warning track on a very well hit ball.

Anyone who has watched Judge regularly this season knows that his home runs have come in bunches. He has scored a ridiculous 14 times in consecutive games.

The judge struck twice before walking into Quantrill in Game 1, but having just seen him, familiarity means better swings this time.

I like another long ball here.

José Ramírez, OVER 0.5 RBI, +168

After a regular season with 126 RBI, he scored a two-point homer in Game 1 of the Wild Card Series, but has now lost four games. He went 6 out of 13 with a pair of doubles in this series, so he sees the ball well. This time he should take a hit with someone in scoring position.

Also, I’m a fan of familiarity. Ramírez has seen Gerrit Cole 30 times and scored .292 / .400 / .708 with two doubles, one triple, two homers and five RBIs against him. We could also take a look at over 0.5 points (+139), over 0.5 hits (-164), over 0.5 doubles (+342), a home run (+675) and over 0.5 total bases. (-164).

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