MLB Playoffs: Best Bets for Tuesday’s ALDS Yankees-Guardian Clincher

Thanks to the weather, the Major League Baseball playoffs are giving us a bonus game here on Tuesday. We will finally have game 5 of the ALDS between the Guardians and the Yankees in the Bronx, and just when the dust has cleared on that, we will shift our focus to San Diego for the first ever league series between two teams that didn’t get. 90 regular season wins in the Phillies and Padres. David versus David? Sure why not. The three 100-win NL Goliaths were killed by these two teams.

While we enjoy the action, it can’t hurt to have some, ahem, action of our own. Let’s go to this.

As always, the jokes are courtesy of Caesars

Guardians-Yankees OVER 7 (+100)

I am sinking with the ship after skipping the over twice for only half a turn. With the bullpens getting an extra day off and the four best Guardians relievers not pitching from Game 3 (and three of them – Trevor Stephen, James Karinchak and Emmanuel Clase – not pitching since Game 2), it’s nice risky.

Here is my thought process:

I think the Yankees can get to Guardians holder Aaron Civale soon. He’s mediocre at this point and his things won’t stifle their power. He conceded 14 homers in just 97 innings in the regular season.

Also, Yankees starter Nestor Cortes forfeited two runs out of five innings in Game 2. It’s always better for the offense to see a starter with this kind of quick turnaround and Cortes never started with a short rest after a game. start (in 2019, he started in a short rest, but only went 2 1/3 innings and this was after a very short relief appearance).

Additionally, the Guardians have proven they can reach the Yankees bullpen.

I firmly believe that both teams can put at least three points on the scoreboard.

We just need a 4-3 game for a push and all that has happened is a win. As I said, I will go down with this ship if necessary.

It is possible that this is Judge’s last game before he reaches free will and possibly also his last game as a Yankees player on that baseball field. It has been money all year in the face of pressure, whether it was contract talk or having to deal with questions about how to get to 60 homers. He has gone through every step. I have to say he has a good game here mainly for a gut feeling.

The judge has seen Civale 14 times in his career and has a couple of doubles, including one this year as part of a 1 in 5 effort. He has become more familiar with relievers so far in this series and, starting from home runs in Game 3, he achieved much better swings in the last two games after a disastrous start.

Choose from these:

  • Score on 0.5 run (-139)
  • Take a home run (+210)
  • Over 0.5 RBI (+127)
  • Over 1.5 total bases (+100)

I tried this method once in the early post season and it was Bryce Harper in NLDS Game 4. He scored a home run and doubled up, going over everything. Let’s retrace it with Judge here!

NLCS chooses to come

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